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🏁 Race Conditions

* Distance: 1 Mile (Turf)
* Purse: $34,000 + bonus
* Conditions: 3YO and up, started for $60K or less, non-winners of 2
* Surface: Turf

🐎 Field and Key Metrics

| # | Horse                | Speed Fig (Best) | Last Finish | Earnings/Start | Jockey/Trainer Win % | Notes                        |
| - | -------------------- | ---------------- | ----------- | -------------- | -------------------- | ---------------------------- |
| 1 | Time Song            | 98               | 10th        | $7,346         | 33%                  | Drops in class               |
| 2 | Night Out            | 91               | 5th         | $6,233         | 22%                  | Consistently mid-pack        |
| 3 | Nation               | 94               | 1st         | $9,825         | 11%                  | Improving form               |
| 4 | Blamethegoodtimes    | 103              | 8th         | $10,368        | —                    | Best speed fig but regressed |
| 5 | News At Ten (GB)     | 105              | 3rd         | $4,438         | 9%                   | Strong recent turf finishes  |
| 6 | Bolt Supremacy       | 101              | 2nd         | $4,277         | 22%                  | Improving consistency        |
| 7 | Louis the Champ      | 95               | 4th         | $4,621         | 13%                  | Often close but not winning  |

📊 Handicapping Insights

* Top Speed Figure: News At Ten (105)
* Best Form: Nation (recent win), News At Ten (3-2-4 in last three)
* Trainer Edge: Baltas and D’Amato both have solid records
* Pace Scenario: Moderate pace expected, benefits tactical closers like Nation and News At Ten
* Surface Preference: All show turf experience; News At Ten and Bolt Supremacy thrive on SA turf

🔮 Predicted Order of Finish

1. News At Ten (GB)
2. Nation
3. Bolt Supremacy
4. Louis the Champ
5. Blamethegoodtimes
6. Night Out
7. Time Song
    

🏇 Race Summary

* Race Type: $32,000 Claiming Race for 3-Year-Old Fillies
* Distance: 5.5 Furlongs (Sprint)
* Track: Santa Anita
* Surface: Presumably Dirt

🐎 Horse Profiles & Insights

| # | Horse             | Jockey           | Trainer         | Odds | Key Stats / Insights                                                      |
| - | ----------------- | ---------------- | --------------- | ---- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 1 | Unknown Name      | E.A. Maldonado   | Unknown         | 10-1 | Least info available                                                      |
| 2 | Knightwithlouis  | A. Fresu         | Doug O’Neill    | 7/5  | Dropping class; big favorite; trainer is 0 for 6 in similar moves         |
| 3 | Petite Treat      | W. Orantes (bug) | Mike Puype      | 5/2  | High win %; trainer 0 for 13 in claimers at SA                            |
| 4 | Approval Rating   | A. Espinoza      | O.J. Jaurequi   | 6-1  | Win % of 33%, best last race finish (1st)                                 |
| 5 | Polythene Pam     | K. Frey          | Librado Barocio | 7/2  | Trainer is hot (60% exacta), good ROI                                     |
| 6 | Lady of Sky       | K. Kimura        | J. Periban      | 6-1  | Solid recent form, win % 33%                                              |

📊 Performance Rankings

Top Win %: Petite Treat, Approval Rating, Lady of Sky (all 33%)
Top Earnings per Start: Petite Treat, Knightwithlouis, Polythene Pam

Trainer to Trust: Librado Barocio (Polythene Pam)

🔮 Predicted Order of Finish

1. Polythene Pam
2. Knightwithlouis
3. Petite Treat
4. Lady of Sky
5. Approval Rating
6. Unknown Name

💡 Betting Tips

* Win Bet: #5 Polythene Pam
* Exacta Box: 2, 3, 5
* Trifecta: 5 / 2,3 / 2,3,6
    

🏁 Race Overview

* Race Track: Santa Anita Park
* Race Date: June 7, 2025
* Race Type: 8-furlong Dirt

Key Horses and Insights

| Horse Name             | Morning Line Odds | Trainer         | Jockey         | Notes                                                                      |
| ---------------------- | ----------------- | --------------- | -------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| #1 Leyas Candy         | 5/1               | Manuel Badilla  | Not listed     | Trainer is 0-for-10 in Dirt routes at Santa Anita since 2021               |
| #3 Zeyaraat            | 12/1              | Vladimir Cerin  | Not listed     | Trainer is 0-for-13 in claimers over the past year                         |
| #4 Ready to Pounce     | 3/1               | John Sadler     | Hector Berrios | 43% win rate last 10 days; Jockey/Trainer combo 40% win                   |
| #6 Nauvoo              | 9/2               | Not listed      | Tyler Baze     | Best jockey at Santa Anita recently (5 for 11, 45%, ROI $5.44)             |
| #7 Contrary Chieftain  | 8/1               | Librado Barocio | Not listed     | 60% in-the-exacta trainer performance recently (3 for 5)                   |

📊 Bias & Stats

* Track Bias: 38% of race leaders after half-mile win — early speed matters
* Hot Jockey: Tyler Baze (#6 Nauvoo)
* Top Trainer: John Sadler (#4 Ready to Pounce)

🔮 Predicted Order of Finish

1. Ready to Pounce
2. Nauvoo
3. Contrary Chieftain
4. Leyas Candy
5. Zeyaraat
    

1️⃣ Baeza (7-2 ML 4-1) — Projected winner
Pattern-play: Progressive figures every start and a grinding style that keeps improving once the real running begins.
Trip: Outside of the two main speeds; should work out a stalking spot and get first run at tiring leaders.
Stamina clues: By Curlin out of an Empire Maker mare—both Belmont-winning influences.
Recent drills: Two bullet five-furlong works at Saratoga signal he’s holding peak form.

2️⃣ Journalism (2-1 ML 8-5) — Likeliest exacta partner
Class edge: Beat Baeza in the Santa Anita Derby and captured the Preakness with a perfect pressing trip.
Pace versatility: Tactical speed gives Umberto Rispoli options if the early fractions heat up or dawdle.
Knock: Might be forced three-wide around both turns from post 7, giving Baeza the inside of the pair. 
Source: nyra.com

3️⃣ Hill Road (10-1 ML 12-1) — Value underneath
Longer is better: Strong gallop-out in the 9-furlong Peter Pan hints the extra furlong helps.
Inside draw: Rail-skimming Irad Ortiz can save every inch, wait for the rail to open, and launch.
Sharp form: TwinSpires analysts peg him as the day’s “best longshot,” citing improving speed figures. 
Source: twinspires.com

4️⃣ Sovereignty (2-1 ML 2-1) — Figures say yes, form cycle says maybe
Derby winner who skipped the Preakness. Fitness off the six-week freshening is Bill Mott’s gamble.
Saratoga résumé: Fourth here last fall and only 3-for-6 lifetime. Some handicappers are fading him. 
Source: cbssports.com

5️⃣ Rodriguez (6-1) — The pace key
Bob Baffert’s colt is the most likely leader. If Luis Saez aboard Uncaged doesn’t press, Rodriguez could carry his speed a long way; otherwise he may fade late.

6️⃣ Crudo (10-1) — Lightly raced upside but a big class leap
7️⃣ Heart of Honor (17-1) — European-bred trying dirt for just the second time
8️⃣ Uncaged (30-1) — Needs everything his own way and won’t get it

📈 Projected Pace Scenario
Early         Mid-race     Stretch
Rodriguez & Crudo carve out solid but not suicidal fractions. Journalism and Baeza sit 2-3 lengths back, Hill Road tucked inside. Baeza collars Journalism at the eighth pole; Hill Road threads through for third; Sovereignty grinds on for fourth.

🎯 Exotic wagering snapshot
Exacta: 6 Baeza / 7 Journalism (save 6/1 and 7/6 reverses)
Trifecta keys: 6 Baeza top; 7, 1, 2 next; spread with 3 & 5 underneath
Superfecta deep tickets: Add 3 Rodriguez and 5 Crudo in 3-4 slots for price pops